Article 2023

Sources of Wage Growth

Journal of Political Economy
Journal · Vol. 131 · Issue 2 · pp. 456-503
Abstract

This paper investigates the sources of wage growth over the life cycle, determined by sectoral and firm mobility, unobserved ability, the accumulation of cognitive-abstract or routine-manual skills, and whether workers enroll in vocational training at the start of their career. Our analysis uses longitudinal administrative data over three decades and shows that routine-manual skills drive early wage growth, while cognitive-abstract skills become more important later. Moreover, job amenities are an important determinant of mobility decisions. Vocational training has long-term effects on career outcomes through various channels and generates returns for both the individual and society. © 2023 The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. Published by The University of Chicago Press.

Keywords

Author Keywords

Not provided

Index Keywords

Employment Vocational education wage cognition
Author Affiliations
Università Bocconi, Milan, Italy
University College London, London, United Kingdom
Funding & Acknowledgements
European Research Council, ERC
We thank Jim Heckman, Courtney Brell, David Zentler-Munro, four anonymous referees, and participants in seminars at many universities and conferences for helpful comments and discussion. We are particularly grateful to Costas Meghir and Jean-Marc Robin for their input into an early version of this paper (Adda et al. 2006). Dustmann acknowledges funding by the European Research Council (ERC) advanced grant MCLPS 833861, the NORFACE (New Opportunities for Research Funding Agency Cooperation in Europe) welfare program, and the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) grant 1024/1-2 AOBJ:642097. Replication files are available in a zip file. This paper was edited by James Heckman.
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, H2020
Grant: 833861
We thank Jim Heckman, Courtney Brell, David Zentler-Munro, four anonymous referees, and participants in seminars at many universities and conferences for helpful comments and discussion. We are particularly grateful to Costas Meghir and Jean-Marc Robin for their input into an early version of this paper (Adda et al. 2006). Dustmann acknowledges funding by the European Research Council (ERC) advanced grant MCLPS 833861, the NORFACE (New Opportunities for Research Funding Agency Cooperation in Europe) welfare program, and the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) grant 1024/1-2 AOBJ:642097. Replication files are available in a zip file. This paper was edited by James Heckman.
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, DFG
Grant: 1024/1-2 AOBJ:642097
We thank Jim Heckman, Courtney Brell, David Zentler-Munro, four anonymous referees, and participants in seminars at many universities and conferences for helpful comments and discussion. We are particularly grateful to Costas Meghir and Jean-Marc Robin for their input into an early version of this paper (Adda et al. 2006). Dustmann acknowledges funding by the European Research Council (ERC) advanced grant MCLPS 833861, the NORFACE (New Opportunities for Research Funding Agency Cooperation in Europe) welfare program, and the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) grant 1024/1-2 AOBJ:642097. Replication files are available in a zip file. This paper was edited by James Heckman.
References 10 References
1 Abowd, John M., High wage workers and high wage firms, Econometrica, 67, 2, pp. 251-333, (1999)
2 Career Progression and Formal Versus on the Job Training, (2006)
3 Adda, Jérôme, The career costs of children, Journal of Political Economy, 125, 2, pp. 293-337, (2017)
4 Altonji, Joseph G., Cashier or consultant? Entry labor market conditions, field of study, and career success, Journal of Labor Economics, 34, S1, pp. S361-S401, (2016)
5 Unemployment Trade Unions and Dispute Resolution, (1987)
6 Antonczyk, Dirk, Can a task-based approach explain the recent changes in the German wage structure?, Jahrbucher fur Nationalokonomie und Statistik, 229, 2-3, pp. 214-238, (2009)
7 Arcidiacono, Peter S., Living rationally under the volcano? An empirical analysis of heavy drinking and smoking, International Economic Review, 48, 1, pp. 37-65, (2007)
8 Autor, David H., The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118, 4, pp. 1279-1333, (2003)
9 Bagger, Jesper, Tenure, experience, human capital, and wages: A tractable equilibrium search model of wage dynamics, American Economic Review, 104, 6, pp. 1551-1596, (2014)
10 Belzil, Christian, Dynamic skill accumulation, education policies, and the return to schooling, Quantitative Economics, 8, 3, pp. 895-927, (2017)
Quick Actions
Full Text via DOI
Citation Metrics
16
Times Cited (Scopus)

References 10
Document Identifiers