Conference paper 2025

Predictive Modeling for Identifying Early Warning Signs of Underperformance in Vocational Education

2025 5th International Conference on Advanced Research in Computing: Converging Horizons: Uniting Disciplines in Computing Research through AI Innovation, ICARC 2025 - Proceedings
Conference
Abstract

This study focuses on developing a predictive modeling system to identify early signs of underperformance in vocational education, critical for building a skilled workforce. Addressing challenges like high dropout rates and inadequate graduate preparedness, the system utilizes machine learning techniques such as Neural Networks, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression. Implemented in Python, it analyzes key features like academic records, attendance, engagement, and socioeconomic factors. Preprocessing steps, such as data cleaning and feature engineering, were implemented, and transfer learning was employed to adapt the model. This combination of feature engineering and transfer learning enables the transfer of knowledge from academic settings to vocational education by identifying and leveraging shared characteristics between the two domains. The system provides real time insights through automated reports and notifications, enabling targeted interventions to improve retention and graduation rates. This scalable approach advances educational technology and informs policies to enhance vocational education outcomes. © 2025 IEEE.

Keywords

Author Keywords

Vocational education Educational Data Mining predictive modeling transfer learning underperformance

Index Keywords

Engineering education Personnel training Apprentices Students Vocational education Educational robots Sociology Transfer learning Predictive models Educational data mining Logistic regression Early warning signs Feature engineerings Machine learning techniques Modelling systems Skilled workforces Underperformance
Author Affiliations
Department of Information Technology, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, Colombo, Sri Lanka
Funding & Acknowledgements
No funding information
References 10 References
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2 Böhn, Svenja, Dropout from initial vocational training – A meta-synthesis of reasons from the apprentice's point of view, Educational Research Review, 35, (2022)
3 Ogor, Emmanuel N., Student academic performance monitoring and evaluation using data mining techniques, Electronics, Robotics and Automotive Mechanics Conference, CERMA 2007 - Proceedings, pp. 354-359, (2007)
4 Li, Hongbo, Data-driven analytics for student reviews in China’s higher vocational education MOOCs: A quality improvement perspective, PLoS ONE, 19, 3 March, (2024)
5 Singh, Harman Preet, Predicting Student-Teachers Dropout Risk and Early Identification: A Four-Step Logistic Regression Approach, IEEE Access, 10, pp. 6470-6482, (2022)
6 Opportunities and Challenges of AI in Vocational Education
7 Transfer Learning from Deep Neural Networks for Predicting Student Performance
8 Role of Technical Vocational Education and Training Programs on Youth Employability in Rwanda
9 Predictive Models for Educational Purposes A Systematic Review
10 Effects of Academic Self Efficacy on Vocational Students Behavioral Engagement at School and at Firm Internships A Model of Engagement Value of Achievement Motivation
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